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Spot Gold Looks Comfortable above the Trend Line

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The widely traded and popular spot gold futures contract gained about 0.85 percent on Wednesday. Looking at the above daily MT 4 price action chart, this futures contract is now trading above a falling trend line in play from both the 9, 23 November high price points.

The spot gold contract has gotten a boost from a weaker U.S. dollar. A weaker dollar makes purchasing the yellow metal less expensive, for those trading in other currencies, as well as storing and insuring.

Despite a coronavirus vaccine on the way, it will be at least half a year for it to ship and be effective. The pandemic is also spreading like wildfire throughout the United States. The world’s largest economy is also having difficulty passing a new pandemic fiscal stimulus aid package and they must also, somehow, agree on a new federal budget.

The U.S. Senate is divided and unable to agree on anything right now. They have been unable to agree on a new fiscal stimulus package. The Senate Democrats tried to open talks with a lower bill at $900 billion. They did want a package of $1.3 trillion. The Senate Republicans turned this downs as they want an aid package of around $500 billion.

 On 11 December, the American Senate must find a way to compromise and reach a deal on a federal budget or risk a government shutdown at the time the coronavirus is raging across the states. All of this has the ability to change financial market sentiment at a blink of an eye, sending support to the safe haven greenback, which could see capital leaving the spot gold futures contract.

Daily Spot Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)                                  

The spot gold futures contract looks poised to challenge the upside barrier in play at $1,850 per ounce after confirming a bullish Marubozu candlestick pattern. This occurred on Tuesday. A daily close above $1,850 per ounce opens the door to challenge the upside barrier at the fifty day simple moving average at $1,880 per ounce.

On the downside, the first layer of technical support is at the ten (10) day simple moving average at $1,816 per ounce. The next layer of technical support lines up at $1,764 per ounce.

About David Frank

David has his MA and PhD in Economics. He is a technical analyst who has been trading in the Forex world for over a decade. As an analyst and trader, David believes in the big picture by blending together technical analysis with the fundamentals behind the scenes in the Forex and Bond markets. David’s trading strategy is unique. He blends an understanding of fundamental and macroeconomics with technical analysis to offer a unique view into Forex. He applies several strategies including carry long positions, to take advantage of high yields in non-volatile markets, as well as using quicker, chart related analysis for day trading.

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