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The Kiwi Dollar continues to Fall as 5 Month Support Broken

kiwi, dollar, nzdThe New Zealand dollar Forex market (NZD/USD), also known as the Kiwi dollar has now broke below a key trend line support level at a rising five month long trend line. This suggests that a significant reversal for the Kiwi dollar is in the cards.

What is interesting to note, is that there is an up coming monetary policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia. This selloff of the Kiwi could be Forex traders repositioning their books ahead of this monetary policy announcement by the RBNZ. Traders are expecting the RBNZ to stand pat on rates and signal that there are no future rate hikes or cuts on the near term horizon. This is sapping strength from their local currency, the NZD.

There is also regional news from North Korea which continues to threaten the United States saying the entire American country is now within its strike capability.

Kiwi Dollar Technical Analysis

Looking at today’s daily New Zealand dollar Forex market’s daily technical analysis, the next layer of technical support lines up at 0.7275. A daily close below this first downside barrier will see a challenge of the next layer of technical support that lines up at 0.7187.

The alternative technical analysis notes the first upside barrier lining up at 0.7385. A break above this first layer of resistance notes the next upside barrier lining up at 0.7450.

I do have a short NZD sale open right now and have booked partial profits at 0.7430. The original target was 0.7275 with a stop loss to be triggered with a daily close above 0.7450. The original entry price of this short sale was at 0.7395.

About David Frank

David has his MA and PhD in Economics. He is a technical analyst who has been trading in the Forex world for over a decade. As an analyst and trader, David believes in the big picture by blending together technical analysis with the fundamentals behind the scenes in the Forex and Bond markets. David’s trading strategy is unique. He blends an understanding of fundamental and macroeconomics with technical analysis to offer a unique view into Forex. He applies several strategies including carry long positions, to take advantage of high yields in non-volatile markets, as well as using quicker, chart related analysis for day trading.

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