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The Dollar Remains Weak ahead of the Fed

dollar, fed, fomc, treasury

The U.S. dollar continues to remain on the back foot against most of its G-10 Forex trade partners during the Asian trade session. Forex traders are waiting on the U.S. Federal Reserve Board to announce their monetary policy and rate decision later today.

Currency traders are thinking that the Federal Reserve will take measures to get the recent rise in Treasury yields under control in order to keep borrowing costs low for the Federal Government.

Both the New Zealand and Australian currencies (NZD, AUD) are pulling back against the U.S. dollar (USD), however sentiment remains upbeat as economic activity continues to increase. This has capped losses for the commodity and sentiment linked Forex assets. Nations are starting to roll back lockdown measures and reopen economies.

The dollar is little changed against the Japanese yen. The USD/JPY Forex market is trading hands at 107.75 yen after falling 0.6 percent on Wednesday.

The GBP/USD currency exchange rate is trading near a three month low price point at $1.2713 during the early Asian trade session.

Dollar Traders are waiting on the Fed to Respond to Yield Rates

The main focus for currency and other financial market participant will be on the Fed policy meeting and announcement later today. No changes to rates or monetary policy is expected.

With that said, Treasury yields have been pushing higher as there are signs that the U.S. economy is starting to stabilize and recover from the Covid-19 (coronavirus) lockdown.

Traders are starting to think that the Fed will adopt a yield curve control to guide the benchmark ten year yield lower. This is a remote possibility but uncertainty will continue to keep the greenback under pressure.

The FOMC is now in Focus

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is the monetary policy arm of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC will announce their June monetary policy and rate decision.

The Federal Reserve will also publish economic projections for the first time since March. Also of interest will be the FOMC monetary policy statement and Federal Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference.

About David Frank

David has his MA and PhD in Economics. He is a technical analyst who has been trading in the Forex world for over a decade. As an analyst and trader, David believes in the big picture by blending together technical analysis with the fundamentals behind the scenes in the Forex and Bond markets. David’s trading strategy is unique. He blends an understanding of fundamental and macroeconomics with technical analysis to offer a unique view into Forex. He applies several strategies including carry long positions, to take advantage of high yields in non-volatile markets, as well as using quicker, chart related analysis for day trading.

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