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Dollar Loses Steam against the Canadian Currency

Dollar

After an impressive run higher this week, the U.S. dollar has retreated against the Canadian currency as the benchmark USD/CAD currency exchange rate is trading near 1.2345. This Forex market hit its highest price point since 28 April on Thursday.

After a busy week, which included a hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy statement, press conference and updated economic projections, which supported the U.S. dollar, Friday’s economic calendar is quiet.

There was also the G-7 summit as well as a key meeting between President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin. The United States has no macroeconomic calendar data scheduled to be released today and neither does Canada.

Germany is releasing monthly producer price index (PPI) data. The Eurozone will publish their current account. The United Kingdom is publishing monthly retail sales data.  

Daily U.S. Dollar Technical Analysis (USD/CAD)

Looking at the technical indicators on the above four hour USD/CAD MT 4 price action chart, the relative strength index (RSI) is in overbought territory. Also, the American dollar is pulling back from a three month old resistance area in play at 1.2365 to 1.2350.

The first layer of technical support lines up at 1.2320 for the USD/CAD currency exchange rate. A break below this level opens the door to challenge the key support level at 1.23. The next downside barriers come into play at the April swing low price points.

These support levels are at 1.2265 and 1.2260, respectively. Further downside levels line up at 1.22 and the round number of 1.20.    

On the upside, this Forex market has near-term resistance in play at 1.2365. A sustained close above 1.2365 opens the door for 1.24 with the 27 April high price level at 1.2420 then coming into focus.

A daily close above 1.2420 brings the low price points at 19 March and 21 April into focus. Respectively, these upside barrier line up at 1.2465 and 1.2470.

About David Frank

David has his MA and PhD in Economics. He is a technical analyst who has been trading in the Forex world for over a decade. As an analyst and trader, David believes in the big picture by blending together technical analysis with the fundamentals behind the scenes in the Forex and Bond markets. David’s trading strategy is unique. He blends an understanding of fundamental and macroeconomics with technical analysis to offer a unique view into Forex. He applies several strategies including carry long positions, to take advantage of high yields in non-volatile markets, as well as using quicker, chart related analysis for day trading.

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