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Euro Remains on the Defensive thanks to the Lira

euroThe euro is trading near a one year low this morning during Asian trade hours. Capitol is flowing into the dollar and safe havens like the Swiss franc. The Turkish lira remains under pressure and traders are worrying this could hit European banks with exposure to the Turkish economy as well as other emerging market economies.

Trader are worried money will also flow out of emerging economies that have large current account deficits and also rely on foreign monies.

As of 12:00 am GMT, the benchmark EUR/USD was trading at $1.1405. It hit a 13 month low on Monday at $1.1365. For the month the euro has lost 2.4 percent.

Traders are also rushing into the safe haven Swiss franc. The euro has fallen to a one year low against the franc at 1.1288 franc per euro. On Monday it was at 1.1324.

The Turkish Lira is hurting the euro and other Currencies

The benchmark USD/JPY last traded at 110.74 yen. The yen is another safe haven but thanks to higher bond yields in the States was a bit softer against the dollar.

The Turkish lira lost 0.6 percent today to trade at 6.955 per dollar. The lira was near the record low of 7.24 set back on Monday. The Turkish central bank has made a pledge to provide liquidity.

The lira has fallen 30 percent this month. This is thanks to trader worries about President Tayyip Erdogan’s reluctance to raise interest rates. There is increasing inflation and a worsening diplomatic row with the United States.

About David Frank

David has his MA and PhD in Economics. He is a technical analyst who has been trading in the Forex world for over a decade. As an analyst and trader, David believes in the big picture by blending together technical analysis with the fundamentals behind the scenes in the Forex and Bond markets. David’s trading strategy is unique. He blends an understanding of fundamental and macroeconomics with technical analysis to offer a unique view into Forex. He applies several strategies including carry long positions, to take advantage of high yields in non-volatile markets, as well as using quicker, chart related analysis for day trading.

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