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EUR/GBP, is there a Downturn ahead for the Euro?

euroLooking at the EUR/GBP Forex market this morning, investors should note an interesting, if not dramatic situation developing on the charts. The charts are noting a falling star being confirmed after a failed test of the resistance level that lines up at 0.90. This is an upside barrier that the British Pound has defended successfully against the euro in past. This also hints that a major downturn could be in the cards.

There is also other signs of a downturn, from a technical perspective. There is negative RSI divergence. That points to fading upside momentum. That also will bolster the case for a downside move with the euro is on the horizon.

There are also geopolitical concerns with North Korea as well as ongoing problems with US President Donald Trump’s ongoing battle over Russian hacking claims. The European Central Bank has also indicated a dovish attitude even as they are expected to unwind their quantitative easing program starting next month.

Euro Technical Analysis

Looking at today’s euro technical analysis against the British Pound, there is technical support lining up at 0.8990. A break below this first downside barrier will challenge a former resistance level that lines up at 0.8922.

The alternative analysis notes an upside barrier lining up at 0.9050. A daily close above this technical resistance layer challenges the next upside barrier that lines up at 0.9151.

Basically, a shooting star candlestick is simply investor hesitation. It is not an actionable sell or short EUR signal and more evidence is needed before investors rush to make a decision. Any move to open a short EUR trade, for now, is premature.

About David Frank

David has his MA and PhD in Economics. He is a technical analyst who has been trading in the Forex world for over a decade. As an analyst and trader, David believes in the big picture by blending together technical analysis with the fundamentals behind the scenes in the Forex and Bond markets. David’s trading strategy is unique. He blends an understanding of fundamental and macroeconomics with technical analysis to offer a unique view into Forex. He applies several strategies including carry long positions, to take advantage of high yields in non-volatile markets, as well as using quicker, chart related analysis for day trading.

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